The Poker Lab Rat

September 20, 2008

Poker Tips: On the Quick Bluff and Bunched Aces

Filed under: General Blog Rant, pro tips, Mike Caro, Doyle Brunson — Mike @ 10:16 pm

Here’s a couple of quick poker tips from top professional poker player, Mike Caro.

Mike Caro plays online poker at DoylesRoom.com poker roomA Quick Bluff Is More Likely To Succeed Than A Hesitant One
Of course, there are exceptions, but on average…

If you bluff fairly quickly — without pondering — you’ll succeed in stealing the pot more often than if you hesitate and seem unsure. I was able to further support this theory by programming my artificially intelligent Orac poker player in 1984. I learned while testing that opponents were much more likely to fold against fast bets than against pondered ones — even against a computer!

Mike Caro plays online poker at DoylesRoom.com poker roomBeware Of Bunched Aces In Hold’em

I call this the “bunching factor.” It has nothing to do with poor dealing, though.

If you’re playing 10-handed hold ‘em and the first seven players have folded before the flop, there’s a better-than-usual chance that the few remaining players hold aces. Why? It’s because when opponents fold, it’s more likely that they folded something other than aces.

This means that statistically there are more aces left that could appear in the few remaining hands. While this isn’t an overwhelming statistical factor, it is significant enough that you should be more selective about the hands you raise the blinds with from the button (dealer position) when everyone else has folded than you would be if the deal began three-handed!

This “bunching factor” applies to other games, too — especially draw poker.

 

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